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Poll: Trump Holds Narrow Lead over Clinton in Florida

Donald Trump managed to edge out Hillary Clinton in Florida by 2 points.

The Hill reports:

A new Florida Atlantic University survey released on Wednesday shows the Republican presidential nominee leading his Democratic counterpart 43 percent to 41 percent, which is within the survey’s margin of error. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson captures 8 percent, and 5 percent are undecided.

This is the first poll showing Trump leading Clinton in the Sunshine State since early July, according to RealClearPolitics polling.

Both major-party nominees have negative favorability ratings in the state. Forty-one percent view Trump favorably, while 56 percent view him unfavorably. Clinton is viewed favorably by 40 percent, while 58 percent view her unfavorably.

Trump is winning over independents by a double-digit margin, 47 percent to 26 percent, and he has a similar edge with male and white voters. Clinton leads among female voters and African-Americans by nearly 50 points and Hispanics by 10 points.

“The race between Clinton and Trump among Hispanics in Florida is closer than it is nationally,” said Monica Escaleras, the director of Florida Atlantic University’s Business and Economics Polling Initiative. “Some of that is probably the Cuban vote. Trump’s support among Latinos in Florida is helping him stay competitive.”

The poll was conducted Aug. 19–22 and surveyed 1,200 likely voters. The margin of error is 2.7 percentage points.

In the Florida Senate race, Republican Sen. Marco Rubio is leading his likely Democratic opponent, Rep. Patrick Murphy, by 5 points, 44 percent to 39 percent.

Both candidates are leading in their respective primaries, which will be held next Tuesday.

The race for a crucial Senate seat could be pivotal in determining which party gains control of the upper chamber next year. So far, Rubio holds an almost 6-point lead in a RealClearPolitics average of polls.

Photo credits: In Homeland Security.

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