Stats Wiz Nate Silver: US As Dangerous for Black People as Rwanda, Nigeria, War Zones
Appearing on the Kate Harper Show, FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver put the murder rate of black Americans into context, explaining that black residents are eight times as likely to be murdered than whites.
“If you’re a white person your chance of being murdered every year is 2.5 out of 10,000,” Silver said. “If you’re a black person it’s 19.4, so almost eight times higher.”
Silver explained that the murder rate for white Americans is similar to countries with very low murder rates like Finland, Israel, or Chile.
For black Americans, the murder rate is similar to those found “in developing countries that are war zones even, like Myanmar, or Rwanda, Mexico, Brazil, Nigeria, places that have vast disorder. To me that stat was so striking that I thought this was a case where even if you kinda zoomed out, that was a data point that helped to inform the discussion,” Silver said.
Comedian Ted Alexandro, who appeared on the show as well, pointed out that Silver said the murder rate for black Americans “is more in keeping with places that have ‘vast disorder.’ Maybe vast disorder is the right term for the experience of black folks living here in the United States. That is their reality.”